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Home » \( 200 \times 1.25^6 \) - Crosslake

\( 200 \times 1.25^6 \) - Crosslake

📅 March 1, 2026 👤 scraface

Mar 01, 2026

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📌 Probability all 15 fail: 0.9¹⁵ ≈ <<0.9^15=0.20589>>0.20589.

📌 So, probability at least one succeeds: 1 – 0.20589 = <<1-0.20589=0.79411>>0.79411.

📌 #### 0.794

📌 Alex determines that a suspect’s DNA is in 1 out of 2,000 individuals in a database of 15,000. How many individuals in the database are expected to match, and if the investigation includes a high-profile target list of 350 people, how many matches would be statistically expected?

📌 Expected matches: 15,000 × (1/2000) = <<15000/2000=7.5>>7.5.

📌 For 350 targets: 350 × (1/2000) = <<350/2000=0.175>>0.175.

📌 Since partial matches aren’t acceptable, but statistically expected value is 0.175.

📌 #### 0.175

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